- Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?38¢
- Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?32¢
- Will Alvin Tedjo win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?16¢
- Will Dipika Damerla win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?<1¢
- Will Zulfiqar Ali win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?<1¢
- Will Rahul Mehta win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?<1¢
- Will George Tavares win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?<1¢
The Mississauga mayoral contest remains tightly contested one week before the October 26 vote, with incumbent Carolyn Parrish holding a modest edge in trader pricing amid polling volatility. Recent surveys show Bonnie Crombie, Alvin Tedjo, and Dipika Damerla clustered within a few points of Parrish among decided voters, reflecting a three-way dynamic that has tightened since summer. Final debates in mid-October highlighted differences on policing costs, arts funding, and property taxes, while record advance voting underscored high engagement. Traders appear to assign Parrish an incumbency premium despite the fragmented field and undecided voters, though any late shifts in support among the top four candidates could quickly alter implied probabilities ahead of election night.
Rules
The 2026 Mississauga, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Mississauga, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Mississauga, Ontario.