Los Angeles Mayoral Election
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?66¢
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?35¢
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Incumbent Karen Bass holds a clear edge in the November 3 runoff, reflecting her established name recognition, fundraising lead, and broad coalition as the sitting mayor. The June 2 primary narrowed the field when Bass and City Councilmember Nithya Raman advanced, with Raman overtaking reality TV personality Spencer Pratt in late vote counts to secure the second spot. Raman's progressive platform, including Democratic Socialists of America ties and emphasis on housing and policing reforms, consolidates support from the left but faces structural headwinds in a citywide contest. Key campaign themes center on homelessness, wildfire recovery from the 2025 Palisades Fire, and public safety, where Bass's record and institutional backing sustain trader confidence in her reelection prospects.