- Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?67¢
- Will Mohammed Ashiru Isa win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?9¢
- Will Shehu Bawa win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?16¢
- Will Danjuma Laah win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?<1¢
- Will Auwal Tafoki win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?4¢
- Will Aminu Abdulfatah win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?12¢
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Incumbent Uba Sani holds the clearest advantage in the 2027 Kaduna gubernatorial race, backed by his APC nomination, recent confirmation on the INEC candidate list alongside 17 rivals, and July selection of Christian running mate Jerry Adams to address Southern Kaduna equity concerns and restore a Muslim-Christian ticket. These steps have reinforced perceptions of inclusive governance and party cohesion, while recent statements from religious leaders and Sani’s emphasis on federal projects and security improvements have sustained APC momentum. Opposition figures including PDP nominee Shehu Bawa (ABG), Aminu Abdulfatah, and ADC’s Mohammed Ashiru Isa trail due to fragmented party structures and lower statewide visibility, though primaries and running-mate announcements continue to shape the field ahead of the February 2027 election. Trader pricing reflects the incumbent’s structural edge in Nigeria’s state-level contests.