- Will Together win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?13¢
- Will Together win 8-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?19¢
- Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?31¢
- Will Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?28¢
- Will Together win 17-19 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?11¢
- Will Together win 20 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?6¢
Recent polling averages place Together, the Bennett-Lapid alliance contesting the October 27 Knesset election, in the 11-13 seat range, with outcomes varying across surveys due to competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party for overlapping centrist and anti-Netanyahu support. This fragmentation keeps the broader Zionist opposition bloc near or below 60 seats in most surveys while the Netanyahu-aligned parties hover around 50, leaving both sides short of a majority. Trader consensus across the 8-16 seat bands reflects uncertainty over final turnout among swing voters, small parties hovering near the 3.25% threshold that could alter surplus allocations, and any security developments before election day. Late alliances or shifts in voter mobilization could still separate the leading seat bands.
Rules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Together in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).