- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 75°F or below on October 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 15?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 15?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 15?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 15?30¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 15?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 15?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 15?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 94°F or higher on October 15?<1¢
Recent forecasts for Los Angeles on October 15 indicate a high likely in the mid-to-upper 80s under clear skies and northeasterly flow, with models diverging slightly on peak intensity. High pressure, dry continental air, and offshore winds suppress the usual marine layer, allowing stronger daytime heating than seasonal norms near 78°F. Key differentiators among closely matched bins include minor variations in wind timing and strength, urban versus coastal station readings, and ensemble spread in numerical models, all of which traders weigh against official NWS guidance and real-time observations as the day progresses.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.