- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be less than 3,600,000?14¢
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 3,600,000 and 3,800,000?30¢
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 3,800,000 and 4,000,000?3¢
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,000,000 and 4,200,000?28¢
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,200,000 and 4,400,000?28¢
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,400,000 and 4,600,000?14¢
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,600,000 and 4,800,000?7¢
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be 4,800,000 or more?3¢
Record early voting in Georgia's November 3 U.S. Senate contest between incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff and Republican challenger Mike Collins has driven trader focus toward mid-range turnout totals. More than 188,600 in-person ballots were cast on the first day of early voting alone, exceeding the comparable 2022 midterm figure by roughly 40 percent, with cumulative early votes surpassing 436,000 within three days. This surge, concentrated among women and Black voters, reflects heightened engagement in the closely watched race and concurrent statewide contests amid Georgia's extended early-voting window. Polling averages show Ossoff ahead by roughly eight points, consistent with typical midterm participation levels rather than presidential-year peaks, positioning the 4.2M–4.4M band as the consensus outcome while leaving room for final-week mobilization to adjust totals.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.