This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Recent posting patterns and historical volatility in Elon Musk’s X activity set the baseline for this bracket market, with the top ranges clustered tightly around 160–219 tweets. August’s elevated pace—pushing the monthly total into the 880–919 bracket—reflects sustained engagement on policy, product updates, and platform features, yet weekly counts have swung sharply between quiet stretches near 50 posts and active weeks exceeding 250. With no major scheduled events or announcements positioned to drive a clear breakout in the September 4–11 window, trader sentiment remains evenly distributed across mid-range outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over day-to-day momentum in AI discourse, SpaceX milestones, and X platform metrics.