- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in October 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets in October 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets in October 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in October 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets in October 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in October 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in October 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in October 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in October 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in October 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in October 2026?5¢
- Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in October 2026?5¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Elon Musk’s historically high posting volume on X drives the market’s leading 1000+ outcome at 29.5% implied probability, as his daily activity has frequently exceeded 20–30 tweets amid business updates, replies, and cultural commentary. Recent patterns through mid-2026 show consistent engagement with AI developments, Starlink metrics, and platform features, though daily counts fluctuate with travel, earnings cycles, and external news. The broad distribution across dozens of lower ranges reflects trader recognition that October 2026 could see moderation from competing priorities or spikes tied to election-season discourse, with no single confirmed schedule or policy shift anchoring expectations.