This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trader consensus on Donald Trump's Truth Social activity for September 4-11, 2026, shows a tight distribution across multiple ranges because his posting volume has historically varied with the pace of political developments, legislative activity, and public statements. As of early September, no single dominant catalyst has emerged to push totals decisively higher or lower than typical weekly baselines, leaving the 200+ and 140-159 brackets nearly even. Factors such as scheduled congressional sessions, executive actions, or responses to breaking news could accelerate output, while quieter periods tend to align with mid-range totals. The spread reflects traders weighing his established platform habits against the unpredictable timing of events that prompt frequent updates.