- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?2¢
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?2¢
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?4¢
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?2¢
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?4¢
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?11¢
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?14¢
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?17¢
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?13¢
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?14¢
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?37¢
Trump’s elevated Truth Social activity during the final weeks before the November midterms drives the market’s emphasis on higher volumes. Recent data show daily averages of 22–25 posts in active periods, with peaks exceeding 100 on event-heavy days and monthly totals reaching 27 per day during comparable news cycles. Multiple campaign rallies scheduled across Florida, Georgia, Michigan, and Texas in the October 23–30 window, alongside ongoing legislative disputes, executive actions, and opposition responses, typically generate frequent commentary, endorsements, and real-time updates. Traders price in sustained output above 180 posts as the consensus outcome, reflecting patterns observed when the president engages in extended travel and direct electoral messaging.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between October 23, 12:00 PM ET and October 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.