This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trump maintains a consistent Truth Social posting pace averaging 19–22 posts per day as president in 2026, with frequent late-night bursts and multi-post clusters tied to policy announcements, foreign developments, and political messaging. Recent activity through mid-August shows elevated output during periods of active foreign-policy engagement, including expanded economic measures targeting Iran and tariff-related statements involving Canada, which have historically correlated with higher weekly totals. The August 21–28 window aligns with these ongoing catalysts plus routine White House communications and midterm election commentary, supporting trader consensus that probabilities favor the 200+ range. This reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing sustained volume rather than baseline averages alone.