- Will “A Song To Sing” by Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?45¢45%
- Will “I Can't Love You Anymore” by Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?38¢38%
- Will “Horses and Divorces” by Kacey Musgraves featuring Miranda Lambert win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?12¢12%
- Will “McArthur” by HARDY, Eric Church, Morgan Wallen and Tim McGraw win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?6¢6%
- Will “If I Don't Leave I'm Gonna Stay” by Carly Pearce and Riley Green win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?4¢4%
A Song To Sing leads CMA Musical Event of the Year trader sentiment at 41.5% implied probability, driven by the star power of Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton, whose first official duet blends strong songwriting pedigree with proven CMA appeal and solid radio traction since its 2025 release. Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen’s I Can’t Love You Anymore follows at 32%, benefiting from Langley’s dominant nine-nomination campaign and rising profile, though it trails in perceived vocal-event prestige. The remaining nominees—Kacey Musgraves and Lambert’s Horses and Divorces, Carly Pearce and Riley Green’s collaboration, and the all-star McArthur—sit in single digits, reflecting limited momentum. With CMA voting underway through late October and the November 18 ceremony approaching, traders are weighing historical preference for high-profile pairings against Langley’s broader industry surge in a tightly contested field.
Rules
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed collaboration that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year. If a listed collaboration is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning collaboration whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.