- Will "Clayface" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?<1¢<1%
- Will "Clayface" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?1¢1%
- Will "Clayface" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?8¢8%
- Will "Clayface" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?49¢49%
- Will "Clayface" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?40¢40%
- Will "Clayface" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?16¢16%
Clayface’s second weekend fell 54% to roughly $11 million after its $24 million debut, setting up a closely watched third frame where traders see the $5–7 million range as most probable. Strong audience metrics—an A– CinemaScore, 94% PostTrak score, and solid word-of-mouth for its practical body-horror effects—are the main factors supporting a reasonable hold rather than a steeper collapse. The modest $40–44 million budget lowers the bar for profitability and gives the film room to leg out in a soft post-Halloween marketplace dominated by the expanding A24 documentary You Can See Everything. With no major new wide releases arriving the immediate weekend of November 6–8, the key swing factors remain daily tracking updates and whether positive reviews continue to drive mid-week attendance.
Rules
This market will resolve according to how much "Clayface" 3rd Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day third weekend (November 6 - 8) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.