- Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 14?46¢46%
- Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 14?3¢3%
- Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 14?3¢3%
- Will "Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs - Zach Bryan" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 14?3¢3%
- Will "Press Play - LISA" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 14?3¢3%
- Will "Perfecth - Queens of the Stone Age" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 14?3¢3%
- Will "HABIBTI (FOMO) - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 14?<1¢<1%
Olivia Rodrigo’s “You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love” holds the strongest market position at 66% implied probability thanks to its sustained Billboard 200 dominance since the June release, including a recent return to No. 1 on the Oct. 31 chart with 75,000 equivalent units fueled by the mid-October “Expectations” remix featuring Chappell Roan. The project has stayed in the top five for 19 weeks while benefiting from strong streaming, a sold-out Unraveled Tour, and the Nov. 5 debut of her first holiday single “Take Me Home (4 Christmas),” which should add fresh consumption during the relevant tracking period. Limited major competition from releases like Ella Langley’s “Dandelion,” Taylor Swift’s “The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore,” Zach Bryan’s latest, LISA’s “Press Play,” Queens of the Stone Age’s “Perfecth,” or Drake’s “HABIBTI (FOMO)” keeps the field fragmented, supporting the current trader consensus around Rodrigo’s established momentum.
Rules
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of November 14, 2026”. Albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.