- Will Clay Jenkins win the 2026 Dallas County Judge election?99¢
- Will Mike Immler win the 2026 Dallas County Judge election?1¢
Incumbent Clay Jenkins commands overwhelming trader consensus at 98.6% for the 2026 Dallas County Judge election, driven by his established record in the office, high name recognition across Dallas County voters, and the absence of any major announced challengers with comparable fundraising or organizational strength. Mike Immler sits at 1.4% amid limited visibility, while numerous unnamed or placeholder candidates remain at 50%. With probabilities above 90%, the current pricing reflects the structural advantages of incumbency in a low-turnout county race. Late developments such as a strong primary or independent challenger entering before filing deadlines, a significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal could still shift outcomes before November 2026.
Rules
The 2026 Dallas County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Dallas County, TX. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Dallas County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Dallas County.