Tate McRae’s “Housewife” commands overwhelming trader consensus at 97.4% implied probability for the Spotify Global #1 spot in the week ending October 30 because the track has held the daily and weekly summit since its October 15 release, posting career-high streams that reached 39 million in its first full week and sustained multi-million daily gains into late October. The single’s global chart dominance, including a Billboard Global 200 debut at No. 1, a high-profile Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show performance, and strong U.S. and international streaming data, has created clear momentum that outpaces recent competitors such as the Olivia Rodrigo and Chappell Roan remix of “expectations.” An upset would require an unprecedented late-week surge from another release, a scenario that remains unlikely given the current streaming gap.
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled October 30. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled October 30 by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.