- Nelson Pohl会在2026年Yorkton—Melville补选中获胜吗？96¢96%
- Aaron Kienle会在2026年Yorkton—Melville补选中获胜吗？3¢3%
- Michaela Krakowetz会在2026年Yorkton—Melville补选中获胜吗？1¢1%
Nelson Pohl holds a commanding position in the Yorkton—Melville by-election market, set for December 7, 2026, owing to the riding's entrenched Conservative support, which delivered 77 percent of the vote in 2025. Pohl secured the Conservative nomination in June following Cathay Wagantall's August resignation, giving him months to consolidate local networks as a Yorkton-area farmer and small business owner. Aaron Kienle, the Liberal candidate and Yorkton mayor, entered only in late October, while NDP and Green nominees face structural barriers in this rural Saskatchewan district. The short five-week campaign further limits opportunities for opposition gains. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include an unanticipated national swing toward the Liberals under Mark Carney, unusually high opposition turnout, or late developments affecting voter sentiment before polls close.
规则
加拿大联邦选区 Yorkton—Melville 的补选目前定于 2026年12月7日 举行。 该市场将根据赢得 2026 年 Yorkton—Melville 补选的候选人进行结算。 如果截至 2026年12月31日 23:59 ET 仍无法确切得知选举结果，则该市场将结算为“其他”。 此市场的结算来源将是可信报道的共识。如有歧义，该市场将仅依据 Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/) 发布的官方选举结果进行结算。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。