- Lin Kuo-chang会赢得下一届宜兰县县长选举吗？66¢66%
- Wu Tsung-hsien会赢得下一届宜兰县县长选举吗？35¢35%
- Chen Wan-hui会赢得下一届宜兰县县长选举吗？2¢2%
- Chang Sheng-te会赢得下一届宜兰县县长选举吗？1¢1%
Lin Kuo-chang, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds the leading position in trader assessments for the November 28, 2026, Yilan County magistrate election due to consistent polling advantages and high-level party mobilization. Recent campaign headquarters openings in southern Yilan drew direct endorsements from President Lai Ching-te, who pledged central government backing on infrastructure and development priorities. The opposition alliance consolidated behind Kuomintang legislator Wu Tsung-hsien following a May joint poll, reducing vote-splitting risks with former TPP figures like Chen Wan-hui, yet head-to-head surveys continue to show Lin ahead by narrow margins. Independent candidates and minor contenders register minimal support. Anti-bribery enforcement by local prosecutors and ongoing grassroots outreach by both sides sustain the competitive dynamics, with voter turnout in key townships and last-minute alliance signals likely to influence final separation among the main contenders.
规则
台湾地方选举定于2026年11月28日举行。 该市场将根据在此次选举中胜出、成为下一任宜兰县县长的候选人来结算。 选举前任命的临时、过渡或代理县长将不予考虑。 如果截至 2027年6月30日 23:59 ET，此次选举结果仍未公布，或尚未选出任何候选人，本市场将以“其他”结算。 本市场将根据可信媒体报道所形成的共识所表明的选举结果进行结算。如有歧义，本市场将仅依据台湾政府公布的官方结果进行结算，具体以中央选举委员会（https://db.cec.gov.tw/）公布的结果为准。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。