- 美国会在2026年吞并任何领土吗？4¢4%
International diplomatic agreements and longstanding norms against altering sovereign borders have channeled US strategic priorities into expanded military access agreements rather than formal territorial annexation. A September 2026 security pact with Denmark and Greenland granted the United States permanent basing rights, unrestricted movement, and influence over foreign investments on the island without transferring sovereignty, even if Greenland later gains independence. Similar rhetoric regarding Canada, the Panama Canal, or other areas has produced no sovereignty changes, consistent with the absence of new US territorial acquisitions since 1986. Trader consensus at this level reflects institutional, alliance, and domestic constraints. Unforeseen escalations in active conflicts or abrupt bilateral shifts in the final weeks of 2026 remain the primary variables that could theoretically alter outcomes before year-end.
规则
如果美国在 2026年12月31日 23:59 ET 前正式吞并任何领土，此市场将判定为“是”。否则，此市场将以“否”结算。 吞并是指美国政府通过正式声明或法律行为，宣称对某一领土拥有主权，而该政府在此市场创建时尚未宣称对该领土拥有主权。 符合条件的吞并案例包括路易斯安那购地案；但定居者在没有正式吞并的情况下宣称对土地拥有行政管理权，不会被视为符合条件。 此市场的主要判定来源将是美国政府的官方信息；不过，也可以采用可信新闻报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。