- 乌克兰会在 2027年12月31日 前签署加入欧盟条约吗？16¢
Recent progress in Ukraine’s EU accession talks, including the October 2026 opening of two additional negotiation clusters on the internal market and competitiveness after Hungary lifted its veto, reflects continued reform momentum amid the ongoing conflict with Russia. Four of six clusters are now open, with the remaining two targeted by year-end, yet EU officials have ruled out membership as early as January 2027 and noted that full alignment on the acquis, judicial and anti-corruption benchmarks, and agricultural integration will require years. The merit-based process, combined with unanimous member-state approval for cluster closures and treaty signature, faces structural delays typical of prior enlargements. Trader consensus at 83.5% against a treaty by December 2027 aligns with these timelines and the war’s complicating effects on implementation.
规则
如果乌克兰和欧盟在 2027年12月31日 23:59 ET 前正式签署加入条约，此市场将判定为“是”。否则，本市场将判定为“否”。 符合条件的加入条约须是一项具有约束力的协议，规定乌克兰未来可能加入欧盟的条款；这包括规定部分或有限成员资格，或对欧盟特定政策包含豁免、过渡期或特殊例外的协议。此市场判定为“是”并不要求乌克兰成为欧盟成员。此市场判定为“是。”并不要求欧盟成员国、乌克兰议会或其他立法机构批准该协议。 初步协议、联系国协定、框架协议，或仅有欧洲经济区成员资格或潜在成员资格，均不符合条件。 主要判定依据为欧盟委员会、欧洲理事会或乌克兰政府的官方公告；不过，也可采用可信报道的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。