- 特朗普会在2026年底前赦免吉丝兰·麦克斯韦尔吗？4¢4%
The near-certain trader consensus against a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026 reflects the absence of any public statements, administration signals, or policy priorities indicating consideration of clemency in this case tied to the Epstein investigation. Maxwell's ongoing legal appeals and 20-year sentence have produced no developments shifting executive branch focus, while the politically sensitive nature of the underlying charges creates strong institutional and reputational barriers. Historical patterns from the prior Trump term show no precedent for such action. Late-breaking factors that could still alter outcomes include unexpected court rulings, new evidence in related proceedings, or sudden shifts in White House priorities during the final months of the term.
规则
如果吉斯莱恩·麦克斯韦在 2025年7月23日 至 2026年12月31日 的 23:59 ET 之前获得唐纳德·特朗普颁发的总统特赦、减刑或缓刑，本市场将结算为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 如果在本市场的期限内，特朗普已不可能颁发联邦特赦、减刑或缓刑，本市场可能会立即结算为“否”。 判定某人是否获得特赦的主要依据将是美国政府的官方信息；不过，也会参考可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。