- 特朗普会在2027年前下调长期资本利得税吗？11¢11%
The high trader consensus against a long-term capital gains tax rate cut before 2027 stems primarily from the absence of any such reduction in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed into law in July 2025. That reconciliation measure permanently extended 2017 TCJA individual rates and brackets while preserving the existing 0/15/20 percent long-term capital gains structure. With narrow Republican majorities in both chambers, attention has shifted to debt-ceiling negotiations, 2026 midterm risks, and other priorities such as tip and overtime exclusions. Recent discussions of capital gains indexing to inflation or expanded home-sale exclusions have not produced enacted rate reductions, and no qualifying legislation has advanced in the compressed window through December 31, 2026.
规则
如果降低最高档联邦长期资本利得税税率的法案在 2026年12月31日 23:59 ET 前签署成为法律，此市场将判定为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 如果在市场期限内降低长期资本利得税最高收入档的税率（20%），即足以使此市场判定为“是”。这项降税必须适用于个人的联邦长期资本利得税税率，且可以在此市场期限之外生效。 临时降税或减免，以及不会直接降低税率的变更（例如调整税档或扣除额），均不予计入。 此市场判定的主要依据将是美国政府的官方信息，但也会参考可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。