- GOP会在2026年12月31日前动用“核选项”打破阻挠议事吗？11¢11%
Senate Republicans hold a 53-47 majority amid an ongoing government shutdown that began in early October, with President Trump repeatedly urging the chamber to invoke the nuclear option and eliminate the legislative filibuster to advance bills on a simple majority vote. Trump has tied the move to passing measures such as the SAVE America Act and preventing future Democratic actions like statehood for D.C. or Puerto Rico. Senate Majority Leader John Thune and other GOP leaders have rejected the approach, citing insufficient support within the conference and long-term risks to minority protections. Some senators, including Ron Johnson, back the change, but procedural hurdles and internal divisions remain the central barriers. Midterm elections scheduled for November add pressure on both sides.
规则
如果美国参议院通过动议，援引终止辩论程序以结束立法程序任何部分的辩论，且该终止辩论动议在 2026年12月31日 23:59 ET 前获得少于五分之三参议员的赞成票，本市场将判定为“是”。否则，本市场将判定为“否”。 人事确认被视为参议院“建议与同意”职能的一部分，而非参议院“立法程序”的一部分，因此不会计入本市场的判定。 本市场的判定依据将是美国政府的官方信息。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。