- 朝鲜和韩国会在12月31日之前进行直接会谈吗？8¢
South Korea’s government under President Lee Jae Myung has prioritized restoring inter-Korean communication channels since taking office in mid-2025, including halting loudspeaker broadcasts and propaganda balloons while urging dialogue on peace and joint prosperity. Prime Minister Han Seong-sook reiterated these efforts on October 18, 2026. However, North Korea continues to reject direct engagement, labeling the Koreas as hostile states and issuing threats over border fortifications, landmines, and warning shots along the DMZ. Recent statements from Kim Yo Jong have heightened tensions, while Seoul coordinates with Washington and Beijing—evident in Lee’s earlier summit with Xi Jinping and outreach to Trump—to explore pathways that could indirectly support bilateral talks. Speculation around a possible Trump-Kim meeting near the November APEC summit represents a key near-term variable that could shift momentum toward or away from inter-Korean dialogue.
规则
如果朝鲜和韩国在 2026年12月31日 23:59 ET 之前进行直接会谈，本市场将判定为“是”。直接会谈是指双方政府代表之间举行正式会议或进行正式沟通，且没有第三方转递信息。否则，本市场结算为“否”。 会谈可以面对面、通过电话或以虚拟方式进行，并且必须由任一方政府公开承认，或由可信媒体报道。 常规军事冲突预防措施、通过非正式渠道进行的交流，或完全通过其他国家或组织进行的会谈，均不计入。 结算依据将是可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。