- Lula会在12月31日之前宣布提名一人担任巴西联邦最高法院法官吗？88¢88%
Lula's re-election on October 25, 2026, has strengthened his negotiating position for filling the long-vacant STF seat left by Luís Roberto Barroso's 2025 retirement. Recent reporting highlights active talks with Senate President Davi Alcolumbre to advance a nomination, potentially of former Senate President Rodrigo Pacheco, in November before the new legislative session begins in February 2027. This timing aims to avoid a more conservative Senate bloc. Lula's earlier nomination of Jorge Messias was rejected by the Senate in April 2026, marking the first such defeat in over a century. Additional STF vacancies are expected through 2030 due to compulsory retirements of ministers including Luiz Fux, Cármen Lúcia, and Gilmar Mendes. These dynamics, combined with Lula's mandate to shape the court, center trader attention on near-term announcement prospects amid Senate confirmation requirements.
规则
如果总统 Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) 在所列日期之前提名一人担任巴西最高联邦法院 (Supremo Tribunal Federal) 部长 (Ministro)，且时间不晚于巴西利亚时间 23:59，本市场将判定为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 如果 Lula 或巴西共和国总统府 (Presidência da República) 发布公告，称 Lula 已提名一人担任最高联邦法院部长，则足以判定本市场，无论是否确实进行了正式提名。 符合条件的公告必须明确将相关人士列为最高联邦法院部长的被提名人。代理或临时任命的公告、表示有意在未来提名某人的公告，或仅仅披露潜在人选的公告，均不符合条件。媒体报道、猜测或其他非官方信息均不符合条件。 正式的总统提名某人担任最高联邦法院部长，也足以判定本市场。正式提名是指向联邦参议院议长 (presidente do Senado Federal) 提交提名函。 本市场判定的主要依据将是巴西共和国总统府 (https://www.gov.br/planalto) 发布的官方信息；不过，也可以采用可信媒体报道所形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。