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Israeli cabinet decisions since February 2026 have accelerated land registration in West Bank Area C, eased Israeli purchases of settlement land, expanded enforcement powers, and transferred authority over certain holy sites, measures widely described as de facto consolidation of control. These steps build on existing settlement expansion and new construction tenders issued in October 2026, yet stop short of any official declaration or Knesset legislation claiming sovereignty over additional territory. Coalition pressure from far-right ministers favoring formal annexation remains balanced against constraints from the prime minister’s office and U.S. opposition to explicit sovereignty claims. Traders assess the distinction between administrative actions and a qualifying legal act of annexation as the central variable, with upcoming legislative sessions and potential elections likely to test whether momentum shifts toward a formal resolution.
规则
如果 Israel 在市场创建至 2027年3月31日 23:59 ET 期间正式吞并任何领土，本市场将判定为“是”。否则，此市场将以“否”结算。 吞并是指以色列政府通过正式声明或法律行为，声称对某一领土拥有主权，而在创建此市场时该政府尚未声称拥有该领土的主权。 符合条件的吞并案例包括1980年《耶路撒冷法》和《戈兰高地法》；不过，以色列定居者在没有正式吞并的情况下声称对土地拥有行政控制权，不予计入。 该市场判定的主要依据将是以色列政府的官方信息；不过，也可以采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。