- 格陵兰会在2026年投票支持独立吗？1¢1%
Greenland's path to independence remains a gradual, multi-year process under the 2009 Self-Government Act, with no referendum scheduled or prepared for 2026. Recent developments, including the September 2026 trilateral security agreement with the US and Denmark, have reaffirmed Danish sovereignty while preserving Greenland's self-determination rights and linking any future independence to continued NATO membership. A commission examining legal steps is not due to report until early 2027, and economic reliance on Danish block grants—roughly 20 percent of the economy—plus recent parliamentary moves toward resource restrictions continue to favor a measured timeline. Traders' near-certain consensus on no 2026 vote reflects these structural and procedural barriers, though an unexpected coalition shift or sudden economic catalyst could still accelerate the timeline.
规则
如果格陵兰在 2026年12月31日 23:59 ET 前举行独立公投，且公投中超过半数的投票者投票支持独立，本市场将判定为“是”。否则，此市场将判定为“否”。 以加入丹麦以外的其他国家为目的举行的公投，将被视为独立公投。 本市场的主要结算依据将是格陵兰和/或丹麦政府的官方信息；不过，也可以采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。