- 加文·纽森会在2026年12月31日前宣布参选总统吗？11¢11%
- Gavin Newsom 会在 2027年6月30日 前宣布竞选总统吗？54¢54%
- Gavin Newsom 会在 2027年3月31日 前宣布竞选总统吗？52¢52%
Gavin Newsom, term-limited after two terms as California governor, faces a narrow window to signal 2028 Democratic presidential intentions following Xavier Becerra’s victory in the November 2026 gubernatorial race. Newsom has publicly stated he would not enter the contest if Kamala Harris runs, citing substantial overlap in their California-based support networks and a desire to avoid splitting the early primary electorate. He has increased national visibility through events in South Carolina, the first-in-the-nation primary state, and indicated post-midterm clarity on timing. Key variables include Harris’s own decision, polling among Democratic primary voters, and any shifts in party dynamics ahead of formal announcements.
规则
如果 Gavin Newsom 在指定日期 23:59 ET 前正式宣布参加 2028 年美国总统选举，本市场将结算为“是”。否则，此市场将以“否”结算。 就本市场的结算而言，Gavin Newsom 的宣布便足以使结果结算为“是”，无论他是否确实已提交参选提名，或是否会在未来提交参选提名。 本市场结算的主要依据将是 Gavin Newsom 的官方声明（例如通过演讲、社交媒体等），或其官方代表或法律代表的声明；不过，也可采用可信报道的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。