- 埃隆·马斯克会在 2026 年重返特朗普政府吗？4¢4%
Elon Musk's 2025 exit from the Department of Government Efficiency after clashing with President Trump over federal spending legislation has anchored trader views that a formal reentry into the administration remains unlikely through the rest of 2026. Recent reconciliation has produced only narrow advisory involvement, such as co-leading the Pentagon's Project Meridian study on future warfare alongside Palmer Luckey and Newt Gingrich, while Musk prioritizes private-sector advances at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI. Heavy midterm campaign spending and ceremonial honors like the National Medal of Science signal influence without a full-time role. A major cabinet-level appointment or expanded mandate after the November elections could still shift sentiment, though current market-implied odds reflect skepticism that such a development will materialize.
规则
如果唐纳德·特朗普在市场建立后至 2026年12月31日, 23:59 ET 期间，正式提名或任命埃隆·马斯克加入其政府，本市场将判定为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 特朗普政府包括由唐纳德·特朗普正式任命或提名、在美国联邦政府内担任职务的人士，例如内阁成员、行政办公室工作人员、高级政策顾问、大使，或其任命已通过官方政府渠道公开宣布的白宫工作人员。 即使该人员未获确认，提名仍符合条件。 此市场的主要判定来源将是美国政府的官方信息；不过，也可以采用可信新闻报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。