- 国会会在2026年推翻任何否决案吗？15¢15%
Unified Republican control of the White House and both chambers of Congress has produced few vetoes, all sustained through party discipline, as seen in the January 2026 House votes that fell short of the two-thirds threshold on infrastructure measures. With narrow GOP majorities and limited legislative confrontation, broad bipartisan coalitions needed for overrides remain absent. Midterm forecasts point to possible Democratic gains in November, yet any shift would affect only the final weeks of 2026 or the subsequent Congress, and historical patterns show overrides are rare absent divided government. Traders reflect this consensus in the elevated implied probability for no successful override by year-end.
规则
如果美国国会在 2026年12月31日 23:59 ET 前推翻总统的否决，这个市场将结算为 Yes。否则，这个市场将结算为“否”。 仅由国会其中一院通过推翻否决案，不足以使这个市场结算为“是”。 结算依据将是美国联邦政府的官方出版物（例如 Congress.gov）；不过，也可以采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。