Claude's service reliability underpins the market's strong lean toward minimal downtime. Official status data through November 10 shows all components operational, with 90-day uptime averaging 99.7–99.86% across claude.ai, the API, and related platforms. The only November incident so far—a 26-minute degraded performance event on November 8 for the Fable 5.1 model—fits the pattern of brief, resolved issues rather than extended outages. Recent months reinforce this track record: October saw roughly a dozen short incidents (mostly 30–240 minutes of elevated errors or degraded performance on connectors and models), while September incidents were similarly contained. No full-day outages have been reported in November, and Anthropic continues to demonstrate rapid mitigation through infrastructure on AWS and other platforms. Traders price the <5 days bucket highest because cumulative downtime has historically remained low even during active development cycles. The 5–7 day range captures modest room for additional minor events, while probabilities above 8 days stay thin given the absence of systemic risks or major scaling disruptions. Upcoming model releases or connector updates could introduce short-lived volatility, but the current operational baseline favors limited total impact for the month.
本市场将根据 2026 年 11 月 Claude (claude.ai) 发生任何服务中断的天数结算。 如果 Claude Status 上 claude.ai 组件的历史运行时间页面(https://status.claude.com/uptime/)在当天的状态框最终确定后显示该状态框为绿色以外的任何颜色,则视为 Claude 在当天发生了停机。claude.ai 以外的 Claude 组件每日状态框不会影响本市场的结算。 当次日的状态框显示为非灰色时,该日即视为已最终确定;灰色用于尚未开始的日期。 指定月份的最后一天最终确定后,本市场即会结算。如果指定月份的最后一天在指定月份之后第 7 个日历日(ET)结束时仍未最终确定,本市场将根据截至该时已最终确定的日期结算。 本市场结算的主要依据是 Claude Status 的 claude.ai 组件历史运行时间页面(https://status.claude.com/uptime/)。
机器翻译。如有争议,以原文为准。