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- 问题：截至12月31日，NVIDIA 是否会成为全球市值最大的公司？72¢
- 问题：到12月31日，苹果公司是否会成为全球市值最大的公司？14¢
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This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trader consensus assigns NVIDIA a dominant 71.5% implied probability of holding the largest market capitalization at the end of December 2026, reflecting its entrenched position in AI accelerators and sustained data-center revenue momentum. Recent quarterly results have highlighted widening gross margins and share-price outperformance versus peers, while Apple's 14.0% odds rest on steadier but slower consumer-device growth amid competitive pressures. Alphabet's 11.5% probability draws from cloud and search AI initiatives, though both trail NVIDIA's valuation trajectory. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, fourth-quarter earnings releases, and any shifts in Treasury yields that could influence growth-stock multiples.