- 美国会在12月31日之前承认Machado是委内瑞拉领导人吗？5¢5%
U.S. policy continues to back interim President Delcy Rodríguez for stability and economic recovery after the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro, including resumed diplomatic ties and oil agreements. Trader consensus at 96.7% against U.S. recognition of María Corina Machado as leader by December 31 reflects the absence of any shift toward installing her despite her reaffirmed opposition leadership in mid-October and calls for elections. Washington has prioritized gradual transition talks with Rodríguez's government over rapid leadership changes, consistent with statements praising her role and sidelining Machado from negotiations. Late developments such as a sudden diplomatic reversal or major crisis could still alter the outcome before year-end, though current evidence shows no such trajectory.
规则
如果特朗普政府在 2026年12月31日, 23:59 ET 之前宣布美国正式承认 Maria Corina Machado 为委内瑞拉领导人，本市场将结算为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 可能符合委内瑞拉领导人身份的职务包括但不限于“国家元首”、“总统”，或其他能够赋予她在委内瑞拉领土内主要行政权力的类似职务。 符合条件的美国声明必须直接且毫无保留。附带条件、假设性、表示支持或暗示性的声明均不计入。 本市场的主要结算来源将是美国政府和唐纳德·特朗普的官方信息，但也会参考可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。