The Trump administration has maintained maximum pressure on Cuba’s energy sector through Executive Order 14404 and related regulations implemented in September 2026, which expanded secondary sanctions, designated CUPET, and authorized tariffs on third-country oil suppliers after Venezuelan shipments ended earlier in the year. US policy permits limited fuel sales only to Cuba’s private sector while blocking state entities, with recent case-by-case humanitarian exceptions such as one Russian tanker delivery explicitly described by the White House as non-precedent-setting. Cuba’s new hydrocarbons law effective October 19 aims to attract foreign investment but does not alter US embargo rules or trigger sanction relief. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and the absence of any formal easing announcement.
如果唐纳德·特朗普或美国联邦政府在市场创建后至指定日期 23:59 ET 之间,正式宣布减少、暂停、取消或以其他类似方式放宽美国对古巴石油、燃料或其他石油产品销售或运输相关的制裁,则该市场将结算为“是”。否则,此市场将判定为“否”。 符合条件的公告必须明确指出,与古巴石油或燃料贸易有关的美国限制、制裁、处罚或处罚威胁将被暂停、削减、取消,或以其他方式得到实质性放宽。 宣布美国不会对向古巴出口石油的国家征收关税,即符合条件。 只有明确确定的公告才符合条件。建议、谈判、表示愿意考虑或其他不确定的声明均不符合条件。 在本市场时间范围内发布的任何符合条件的公告都会计入,无论公告所述的豁免是否生效,或何时生效。 主要结算来源将是唐纳德·特朗普和美国联邦政府的官方信息;不过,也可以采用可信报道形成的共识。
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