- 截至 2026年12月31日，乌克兰会举行选举吗？3¢3%
Ukrainian presidential elections remain postponed under martial law, extended through 31 October 2026, as the constitution prohibits national votes during active hostilities with Russia. Recent U.S. pressure, including public calls for a new leader, prompted President Zelensky to state he would run if elections occur before the war ends and to propose a 60-day ceasefire to enable legislative changes, security arrangements, and voting access for troops and displaced citizens. Russia has rejected limited ceasefires in favor of a comprehensive peace agreement, while polls indicate most Ukrainians oppose wartime voting due to security risks and logistical barriers involving millions of internally displaced persons and refugees abroad. A parliamentary working group continues reviewing election rules, but no new legislation has advanced.
规则
如果乌克兰在 2025年2月12日 至 2026年12月31日, 23:59 ET 之间举行议会和/或总统选举，本市场将判定为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 本市场取决于乌克兰是否确实在指定日期内举行全国选举。仅仅安排选举日期，不足以使本市场判定为 “是”。 如果选举正式安排在本市场时间范围之外的日期举行，本市场将立即判定为“否”。 本市场判定的主要依据将是乌克兰政府的官方信息，但也会参考可信报道所形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。