- 图斯克会在12月31日前下台吗？7¢7%
Tusk’s coalition maintains a parliamentary majority following the 2023 elections, with the next scheduled vote in fall 2027, limiting formal avenues for removal before December 31. Recent coalition frictions, including a junior partner minister’s resignation, have not fractured the government’s stability, while ongoing clashes with President Nawrocki over constitutional court appointments and judicial reforms have produced protests and accusations but no successful no-confidence motion or resignation trigger. Nawrocki can veto legislation and influence appointments yet lacks unilateral power to dismiss the prime minister. These structural and political realities underpin the 90% trader consensus that no departure will occur by year-end.
规则
如果唐纳德·图斯克在市场创建至 2026年12月31日 23:59 ET 之间的任何一段时间内不再担任波兰共和国总理，该市场将结算为“是”。否则，此市场将判定为“否”。 如果在该市场结束日期之前宣布唐纳德·图斯克辞职或被免职，该市场将立即结算为“是”，无论宣布的辞职或免职何时生效。 如果指定个人被拘留、实际上被免去指定职务，或在本市场的时间范围内以其他方式被永久阻止履行指定职务的职责，则符合结算为“是”的条件。 该市场的结算来源为唐纳德·图斯克和波兰政府的官方信息；不过，也可以采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。