- 台湾行政院长卓荣泰会在2026年12月31日前下台吗？22¢
Taiwan's divided government continues to shape prospects for Premier Cho Jung-tai, who has held office since May 2024 under President Lai Ching-te. The opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan has repeatedly challenged the cabinet through censure motions, attempts to freeze the premier's salary via the budget process, and criticism of his refusal to countersign certain bills on constitutional and fiscal grounds. Cho has defended these actions as necessary to uphold separation of powers after other remedies, including Constitutional Court interpretations, proved insufficient. Recent legislative sessions have featured opposition boycotts and competing priority bills, while the premier has addressed routine governance matters such as health monitoring and policy reporting into mid-October 2026. No-confidence procedures remain available to lawmakers but have not advanced in recent reports, leaving trader assessments tied to the durability of the current executive-legislative impasse.
规则
如果 Cho Jung-tai 在市场创建至指定日期（ET）之间的任何一段时间不再担任台湾行政院院长，本市场将判定为“是”。否则，此市场将判定为“否”。 如果在本市场结束日期之前宣布 Cho Jung-tai 辞职或被免职，本市场将立即判定为“是”，无论所宣布的辞职或免职何时生效。 如果指定个人被拘留、实际上被免去指定职务，或在本市场的时间范围内以其他方式被永久阻止履行指定职务的职责，则符合结算为“是”的条件。 本市场的判定依据将是 Cho Jung-tai 及台湾政府的官方信息；不过，也可以采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。