- Chiang Wan-an会赢得下一届台北市长选举吗？60¢
- Puma Shen会赢得下一届台北市长选举吗？41¢
- Kuo Hsi会赢得下一届台北市长选举吗？<1¢
Chiang Wan-an, the Kuomintang incumbent seeking reelection, holds the strongest position in the November 28 Taipei mayoral race, though recent polling shows the contest tightening as Democratic Progressive Party challenger Puma Shen narrows gaps among younger voters and former Taiwan People’s Party supporters. Chiang has emphasized first-term gains in childcare facilities, infrastructure upgrades, healthcare access, and urban renewal thresholds to consolidate his base ahead of the election. Shen has countered with active motorcades, rallies, and policy pledges on senior benefits and social services while denying related rumors, building crossover momentum through direct outreach. The scheduled October 31 televised debate and final weeks of campaigning on swing voter priorities remain key variables that could alter the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.
规则
台湾地方选举定于2026年11月28日举行。 本市场将根据在此次选举中成为台北市下一任市长的候选人结算。 选举前任命的临时、过渡或代理市长将不予考虑。 如果截至 2027年6月30日 23:59 ET，此次选举结果仍未公布，或尚未选出任何候选人，本市场将以“其他”结算。 本市场将根据可信媒体报道所形成的共识所表明的选举结果进行结算。如有歧义，本市场将仅依据台湾政府公布的官方结果进行结算，具体以中央选举委员会（https://db.cec.gov.tw/）公布的结果为准。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。