- Chen Ting-fei会赢得下一届台南市长选举吗？91¢91%
- Hsieh Lung-chieh会赢得下一届台南市长选举吗？7¢7%
- Lin Yi-feng会赢得下一届台南市长选举吗？2¢2%
- Lin Chun-hsien会赢得下一届台南市长选举吗？<1¢<1%
Chen Ting-fei holds a commanding lead in the Tainan mayoral race according to recent polls, with support ratings around 45-59% against Hsieh Lung-chieh’s 22-34%, reflecting her strong Democratic Progressive Party base, higher favorability scores, and momentum as a potential first female mayor. Traders price her victory probability near 91% due to consistent leads across age groups and districts, endorsements from President Lai Ching-te, and active campaigning including street sweeps and policy outreach ahead of the November 28 vote. Minor candidates such as Yeh Jen-wen and Hsiao Lin-hung register negligible support. Late shifts among undecided voters, changes in turnout patterns, or unexpected developments in the final weeks could still alter the outcome in this closely watched local election.
规则
台湾地方选举定于2026年11月28日举行。 本市场将根据此次选举后成为台南市下一任市长的候选人来结算。 选举前任命的临时、过渡或代理市长将不予考虑。 如果截至 2027年6月30日 23:59 ET，此次选举结果仍未公布，或尚未选出任何候选人，本市场将以“其他”结算。 本市场将根据可信媒体报道所形成的共识所表明的选举结果进行结算。如有歧义，本市场将仅依据台湾政府公布的官方结果进行结算，具体以中央选举委员会（https://db.cec.gov.tw/）公布的结果为准。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。