Recent weekly tweet totals for Elon Musk have clustered between 200 and 360 posts, with the Oct 9–16 period resolving at 346 and earlier 2026 weeks averaging near 285. Trader pricing centers on the 200–279 range because that band aligns with this baseline, while higher brackets reflect occasional spikes tied to major product reveals or earnings reactions. The Oct 21 Tesla third-quarter earnings call stands out as the clearest near-term catalyst that could lift volume through commentary and market reaction, though no overlapping political or launch events appear imminent to drive sustained surges beyond recent norms.
此市场将根据 Elon Musk(@elonmusk)在 10月20日 12:00 ET 至 2026年10月27日 12:00 ET 期间在 X 上发帖的次数结算。 就本市场而言,仅计算主时间线上的帖子、引用帖子和转帖。 回复不计入总数,但主时间线上的回复(例如https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)会被追踪器计入。 已删除的帖子只要保留时间足以被追踪器捕获(约5分钟),即会计入。 未被追踪器计入的社区转帖不计入总数。 本市场的结算来源为https://xtracker.polymarket.com上帖子的“Post Counter”数值。点击“Export Data”可查看单条帖子。如果追踪器未按规则正确更新,可使用 X 本身作为次要结算来源。
机器翻译。如有争议,以原文为准。