Recent screen tests and insider reports have narrowed the field for the next James Bond, keeping Jack Lowden's 28.5% implied probability ahead on endorsements from Slow Horses co-star Gary Oldman and his proven spy credentials. Callum Turner sits close at 21.1% thanks to consistent industry buzz and franchise experience, while Jacob Elordi's 11.9% reflects fan momentum from unconfirmed casting rumors. The 26.2% probability on no actor chosen yet highlights ongoing uncertainty as Amazon MGM Studios, with director Denis Villeneuve, approaches a decision expected by year-end. Traders focus on shortlist dynamics, age suitability for multiple films, and the absence of official confirmation amid shifting speculation.
如果所列演员在 2026年12月31日、23:59 ET 前被官方宣布为下一任詹姆斯·邦德演员,本市场将判定为“是”。否则,此市场将判定为“否”。 本市场将根据首次正式宣布谁将成为下一任詹姆斯·邦德来判定,不受此后任何变更影响。 如果在规定时间内没有演员被宣布为下一任邦德,本市场将判定为“尚未选定邦德”。 本市场判定的主要依据将是 Amazon MGM Studios 的官方信息。不过,也可以采用可信报道的共识。
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