- 共和党会赢得2026年南卡罗来纳州州长选举吗？94¢
- 民主党会在2026年赢得南卡罗来纳州州长选举吗？5¢
South Carolina's solidly Republican electorate and consistent preference for GOP candidates in statewide contests underpin the market's strong consensus around Alan Wilson. As the open-seat race follows term-limited Governor Henry McMaster, Wilson secured the Republican nomination decisively in a June runoff against Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette after consolidating support from other primary contenders. Recent polling averages show him ahead by roughly 9 to 19 points, aligning with the state's 2024 presidential margin. A single October debate highlighted contrasts on taxes, Medicaid, and education, but no major shifts in fundamentals have emerged. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal or unusually high Democratic turnout in key areas could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current indicators suggest limited scope for such reversals before November 3.
规则
该市场将根据2026年南卡罗来纳州州长选举的获胜者进行结算。 如果某候选人是相关政党提名的候选人，则视为其代表该政党。民主党或共和党提名人选以外的候选人（例如绿党、自由意志党或独立候选人）可能会在之后加入。 以独立候选人身份参选的候选人，无论其与该政党有何关联，都不属于“民主党”或“共和党”选项。 为方便交易者，合约中可能会列出候选人的姓名。如果任何一位列名候选人在选举日前被替换，不再代表其所属政党参选，合约中的姓名将会更新，市场将根据该政党的替代候选人结果结算。 本市场的结算依据为美联社、Fox News和NBC。三家消息来源都宣布同一位候选人获胜后，本市场即进行结算。如果这三个来源尚未在该州宣布同一位候选人赢得选举，则本市场将根据官方认证结果结算。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。