Imelda Castro Castro holds a lead in the Sinaloa governor race for 2027 as Morena’s state coordinator following her formal selection in October 2026, backed by a confirmed coalition with the PT and PVEM that will use binding surveys to finalize the nominee. Mario Zamora Gastélum remains the strongest opposition contender, with recent polling from firms like Metrik and Arias Consultores showing him competitive or ahead in unified PRI-PAN or broader opposition scenarios amid high undecided shares. Primary factors sustaining the tight implied probabilities include Morena’s territorial structure and early alliance consolidation versus ongoing opposition negotiations over a common candidate and potential citizen consultation mechanisms. Cartel-related violence and the interim governorship add uncertainty, while upcoming municipal processes and further surveys could shift positioning before the June 2027 vote.
目前计划于 2027年6月6日 在 Sinaloa 举行州长选举。 本市场将根据所列候选人中赢得 2027 年 Sinaloa 州长选举的人进行结算。任何临时或代理知事均不符合资格。 如果截至 2027年12月31日 23:59 ET 仍无法确定结果,本市场将以“其他”结算。 本市场将根据此次选举的结果进行结算,结果以可信报道形成的共识为准。如有歧义,本市场将仅根据 Sinaloa 和墨西哥政府来源公布的官方结果进行结算,包括 Sinaloa 选举研究所和墨西哥国家选举研究所。
机器翻译。如有争议,以原文为准。