- Caroline Émond会赢得2026年Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton补选吗？65¢65%
- Chantal Soucy会赢得2026年Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton补选吗？26¢26%
- Mathieu Boisvert会赢得2026年Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton补选吗？8¢8%
- Luc Brodeur-Jourdain会赢得2026年Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton补选吗？5¢5%
The by-election in Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton, called for December 7, 2026, after the resignation of independent MP Simon-Pierre Savard-Tremblay, centers on a contest between Bloc Québécois candidate Caroline Émond and Liberal candidate Chantal Soucy. Émond’s nomination in July 2026 highlighted her background in international trade, agriculture, and dairy policy, aligning with the riding’s agri-food economy and the party’s strong 2025 result near 44 percent. Soucy, a former CAQ MNA for the overlapping provincial riding who joined the Liberals in late October, brings local name recognition and legislative experience that has narrowed but not erased the Bloc’s projected lead in recent models. Conservative and NDP candidates trail further behind, with forecasts assigning the Bloc roughly two-thirds probability of victory based on historical patterns and current polling trends.
规则
加拿大联邦选区 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton 的补选目前定于2026年12月7日举行。 本市场将根据在 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton 2026 年补选中获胜的候选人进行结算。 如果截至 2026年12月31日 23:59 ET 仍无法确切得知选举结果，则该市场将结算为“其他”。 此市场的结算来源将是可信报道的共识。如有歧义，该市场将仅依据 Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/) 发布的官方选举结果进行结算。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。