- 俄罗斯选举：统一俄罗斯赢得所有地区？100¢100%
United Russia secured victories across all regional legislative assemblies and gubernatorial contests in the September 18–20, 2026, elections, consistent with its established dominance in Russia’s managed multiparty system. Official tallies showed the party retaining or gaining majorities in every region where votes occurred, including areas with new district maps and high administrative mobilization, while systemic opposition parties captured limited seats. The outcome occurred amid wartime conditions, with voting extended to annexed Ukrainian territories and turnout reported at record levels for recent cycles. Trader consensus at 100% for United Russia winning every region reflects the structural barriers to genuine competition, including candidate vetting and limited independent oversight. Remaining uncertainties center on any final certification adjustments or localized disputes, though these have not historically altered the overall regional pattern.
规则
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution. If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market. If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.