- 在2026年俄罗斯国家杜马选举中，统一俄罗斯党（ER）在政党名单投票中所得票数会少于40%吗？<1¢
- 统一俄罗斯党（ER）将在2026年俄罗斯国家杜马选举中赢得40-45%的政党名单选票吗？<1¢
- 在2026年俄罗斯国家杜马选举中，统一俄罗斯党（ER）将在政党名单投票中获得45-50%的选票吗？1¢
- 统一俄罗斯党（ER）将在2026年俄罗斯国家杜马选举中赢得50-55%的政党名单选票吗？22¢
- 统一俄罗斯党（ER）将在2026年俄罗斯国家杜马选举中获得55-60%的政党名单选票吗？76¢
- 统一俄罗斯党（ER）将在2026年俄罗斯国家杜马选举中赢得60%或以上的政党名单选票吗？4¢
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted. Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.