- 普京会在2026年12月31日之前访问美国吗？11¢11%
Ongoing US-Russia tensions rooted in the Ukraine conflict and associated sanctions have kept high-level bilateral diplomacy limited, supporting the 86% trader consensus against Putin visiting the United States by December 31, 2026. No official invitations, scheduling announcements, or major diplomatic breakthroughs have occurred in recent months, with engagement confined to lower-level or multilateral channels. Structural barriers include unresolved sanctions regimes, differing positions on territorial issues, and the absence of normalized summit protocols. A visit would likely require verifiable progress on ceasefire talks or policy adjustments that have yet to develop, leaving the outcome improbable within the resolution window absent unexpected shifts.
规则
如果弗拉基米尔·普京在市场创建后、指定日期 23:59 ET 之前访问美国，本市场将结算为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 就本市场而言，“访问”是指弗拉基米尔·普京亲自进入美国的陆地或海域。在本市场的时间范围内，弗拉基米尔·普京是否进入美国领空，均不影响本市场以肯定结果结算。 此信息的主要结算来源将是美国或俄罗斯的官方信息；不过，也会参考可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。