- Prince Andrew 会被判处监禁吗？3¢3%
Prince Andrew, now known as Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, faces an ongoing UK police investigation into alleged misconduct in public office tied to his former role as trade envoy and links with Jeffrey Epstein. He was arrested in February 2026, questioned, and released under investigation without charges. In October 2026, the High Court quashed search warrants after police conceded a procedural error, though officers maintain the probe continues and are seeking to retain seized material pending a 2027 ruling. The offense is complex to prosecute, carries no standard sentencing guidelines, and has not produced charges despite months of scrutiny. Traders' strong "No" consensus reflects these barriers and the absence of formal proceedings, while low-probability shifts could stem from successful retention of evidence leading to charges or unexpected new developments in the lengthy inquiry.
规则
如果 Prince Andrew 因任何指控于 2026年12月31日 23:59 ET 前被判处任何期限的监禁，本市场将判定为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 本市场将持续开放至 2026年12月31日，或直至 Prince Andrew 被判处监禁为止；无论最初的判决是否包含监禁，均不影响此规则。任何判决均符合条件，不受后续上诉或刑期变更影响。 民事诉讼、监管行动、行政投诉、未提出指控的调查、内部雇佣措施，或未提出刑事指控的公开指责，均不符合条件，即使这些事件受到广泛报道，或在口语中被称为“指控”也一样。 如果在任何时候，所有刑事案件中针对 Prince Andrew 的所有指控都因任何原因被撤销，包括在未承认有罪的情况下达成认罪协议、案件被驳回，或法院未作出且将来也不会作出任何判决的其他情况，本市场将判定为“否”。 本市场的主要判定依据为相关政府及执法机关的官方信息；但也可以采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。