- Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh会赢得2027年Plateau州州长选举吗？82¢82%
- Kefas Ropshik会赢得2027年Plateau州州长选举吗？10¢10%
- John Sunday Sura会赢得2027年Plateau州州长选举吗？4¢4%
- Margaret Inusa Yahaya会赢得2027年Plateau州州长选举吗？2¢2%
- Sunday Garba Biggs会赢得2027年Plateau州州长选举吗？<1¢<1%
Incumbent Governor Caleb Manasseh Mutfwang of the All Progressives Congress holds an 82% implied probability in the Plateau State governorship race ahead of the February 2027 election, reflecting trader consensus shaped by his decisive APC primary victory and ongoing political realignments. Mutfwang, who won the 2023 contest on the Peoples Democratic Party platform before defecting to the APC in January 2026, secured his nomination with over 233,000 votes against a single challenger and has benefited from large-scale defections that have consolidated APC structures across the state. The PDP candidate Kefas Ropshik trails at 14.6%, amid reports of internal party challenges and limited campaign infrastructure compared with the ruling party’s momentum. Seventeen candidates cleared INEC’s final list, but most minor contenders register minimal market pricing consistent with fragmented opposition and incumbency advantages in voter mobilization and party machinery.
规则
尼日利亚高原州的州长选举目前定于 2027年2月6日 举行。如果选举正式改期，本市场将根据为选出任期于 2027 年开始的州长而举行的选举结果结算。 本市场将根据赢得2027年高原州州长选举的所列候选人进行结算。任何临时、代理或看守州长均不符合资格。 如果截至2027年10月31日 23:59 ET结果仍未得到明确确认，本市场将结算为“其他”。 候选人若要当选州长，必须满足尼日利亚法律规定的要求，包括获得最多的有效票，并达到宪法规定的选票地理分布要求。如果没有候选人直接胜出，本市场将保持开放，以计入任何后续选举或第二轮投票的结果；前提是该选举或投票在结算截止日期前举行。如果截至结算截止日期仍无候选人正式当选，本市场将以“其他”结算。 本市场将根据此次选举的结果进行结算，结果以可信报道形成的共识为准。如有歧义，本市场将仅根据尼日利亚独立国家选举委员会（INEC）及尼日利亚政府来源公布的官方结果结算。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。