- Pete Hegseth 到 12月31日 前会不再担任国防部长吗？52¢52%
Recent Republican midterm losses, widely attributed to public backlash against the Iran war that Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth strongly supported, have intensified scrutiny of his position. President Trump publicly affirmed confidence in Hegseth on November 4, stating he is performing well and rejecting immediate replacement, yet multiple reports indicate advisers are weighing him as a potential scapegoat before Democrats assume congressional majorities in January. Republican Rep. Thomas Massie continues advancing impeachment articles over war authorization, with a House vote possible in the lame-duck session, while Democrats prepare investigations into Pentagon decisions and personnel actions. Hegseth’s team maintains full commitment through the current term, but the narrow window to December 31 and mixed signals from the administration sustain balanced trader assessments of removal odds.
规则
如果 Pete Hegseth 在市场创建至指定日期（ET）之间的任何一段时间不再担任美国国防部长，本市场将以“是”结算。否则，此市场将判定为“否”。 如果在本市场结束日期之前宣布 Pete Hegseth 辞职或被免职，本市场将立即以 “是” 结算，无论宣布的辞职或免职何时生效。 本市场的结算依据将是 Pete Hegseth 和美国政府的官方信息；不过，也可以采用可信新闻报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。